Expectation of a threshold feature
Penguin learning project
The project uses 342 complete Palmer penguin records: 240 training-pool and 102 held-out rows. The selected training rows determine feature scaling and model parameters. Source CSV
This project trains weights with softmax, unlike the homepage lab, which uses nearest species averages. Same penguin measurements; different classification methods. Predictions can differ.
Probability and expectation · Describe random variables and their averages under a law.
Project vectors have two features; the training matrix has n rows and two columns. Mathematical tools may operate on these values when their assumptions apply.
Consider this concept alongside the project; its source assumptions may differ. These observations do not prove a theorem.
Input: 12 × 2; Held-out evaluation: 102 · #58 · 40.6 mm, 193 mm. Known answer: Adélie; Prediction: Adélie · [≈0.7383, ≈0.2444, ≈0.01737].
Used in these source sections: 4.2 Approximating with random pieces
The indicator is 1 when the inner product exceeds the threshold and 0 otherwise. Its expectation is the probability of that event.
The toy uses Xi = −1 or +1 equally likely and a fixed threshold 1/2.
A probability can be represented as an expected indicator.
Source formula example
exact · The expectation is exact for this two-outcome toy distribution. An independently drawn copy has the same distribution, not necessarily the same realized value. This does not approximate an arbitrary distribution or establish membership in a generalized Barron space.
Symbols
- A random direction vector; scalar in the toy.
- A random threshold; fixed in the toy.
- An input vector.
Source formula example
This source example uses its own inputs and assumptions. Editing it does not change the project.
Edit a value or the code, then run the example. This is a finite demonstration, not a proof of the paper’s theorem.
This example’s data flow
Code changed. Reset to restore this example’s data flow.
You choose
input.x= 1
Initial values in code
directions=[-1, 1]threshold=0.5
Calculated here
Result expression: {
pairs,
probabilities: [0.5, 0.5],
indicators,
expectation: (indicators[0] + indicators[1]) / 2,
}
indicators=directions.map((direction) => direction * input.x - threshold > 0 ? 1 : 0, )Uses:directions,input.x,thresholdpairs=directions.map((direction) => [direction, threshold])Uses:directions,threshold
Returns
pairs- array (2 items): [array (2 items): [-1, 0.5], array (2 items): [1, 0.5]]
probabilities- array (2 items): [0.5, 0.5]
indicators- array (2 items): [0, 1]
expectation- 0.5
Read numbers from input and return the result. JavaScript basics.
Result
Technical statement
Change the input and run the same code again. The displayed result uses the values shown above.
Source: Source expression