A no-free-lunch comparison
Penguin learning project
The project uses 342 complete Palmer penguin records: 240 training-pool and 102 held-out rows. The selected training rows determine feature scaling and model parameters. Source CSV
This project trains weights with softmax, unlike the homepage lab, which uses nearest species averages. Same penguin measurements; different classification methods. Predictions can differ.
Generalization and risk bounds · Relate sample behavior to population risk under stated assumptions.
The project supplies finite observations and fitted parameters. A held-out sample does not establish population bounds or prove a theorem.
Consider this concept alongside the project; its source assumptions may differ. These observations do not prove a theorem.
Input: 12 × 2; Held-out evaluation: 102 · #58 · 40.6 mm, 193 mm. Known answer: Adélie; Prediction: Adélie · [≈0.7383, ≈0.2444, ≈0.01737].
Used in these source sections: 1.2 Learning from examples
Compare expected learned risk with Bayes risk plus a positive sequence term.
This example makes the source statement computable on a finite model.
Source formula example
illustration · This example checks the bound for one deliberately poor algorithm; it does not prove the theorem or show the same distribution works for all algorithms.
Symbols
- Learning algorithm.
- Random training sample of size m.
- Bayes classification risk.
- Positive nonincreasing sequence term.
Source formula example
This source example uses its own inputs and assumptions. Editing it does not change the project.
Edit a value or the code, then run the example. This is a finite demonstration, not a proof of the paper’s theorem.
This example’s data flow
Code changed. Reset to restore this example’s data flow.
You choose
input.m= 1
Initial values in code
expectedLearnedRisk=1bayesRisk=0
Calculated here
Result expression: { expectedLearnedRisk, bayesRisk, a, lowerBound: bayesRisk + a }
a=1 / (16 * input.m)Uses:input.m
Returns
expectedLearnedRisk- 1
bayesRisk- 0
a- 0.0625
lowerBound- 0.0625
Read numbers from input and return the result. JavaScript basics.
Result
Technical statement
The invented population has one input with label +1; the algorithm always predicts −1. Its learned risk is 1 and Bayes risk is 0. We choose aₘ = 1/(16m). The theorem states: for every positive nonincreasing sequence with a₁ ≤ 1/16, and every classification learning algorithm, there exists a data distribution for which the inequality holds for every m, with S independently sampled from that distribution.
Source: Source expression