Loss of a prediction rule
Penguin learning project
The project uses 342 complete Palmer penguin records: 240 training-pool and 102 held-out rows. The selected training rows determine feature scaling and model parameters. Source CSV
This project trains weights with softmax, unlike the homepage lab, which uses nearest species averages. Same penguin measurements; different classification methods. Predictions can differ.
Individual losses · Give one observed example a loss score.
Project predictions and known answers produce losses. Classification uses cross-entropy and α/2 times squared non-bias weights; Ridge uses normalized-mass MSE and α times all squared coefficients, including the intercept.
Consider this concept alongside the project; its source assumptions may differ. These observations do not prove a theorem.
Input: 12 × 2; Held-out evaluation: 102 · #58 · 40.6 mm, 193 mm. Known answer: Adélie; Prediction: Adélie · [≈0.7383, ≈0.2444, ≈0.01737].
Used in these source sections: 2.1 A view through similarity
First apply the prediction rule to x. Then compare the resulting prediction to y with the selected loss.
This separates a model from the rule used to score its prediction.
Source formula example
exact · The result is exact for these finite toy inputs, apart from ordinary computer rounding.
Symbols
- A prediction rule.
- An input and its target.
- A loss on prediction-target pairs; this example uses squared loss.
Source formula example
This source example uses its own inputs and assumptions. Editing it does not change the project.
Edit a value or the code, then run the example. This is a finite demonstration, not a proof of the paper’s theorem.
This example’s data flow
Code changed. Reset to restore this example’s data flow.
You choose
input.weight= 2input.x= 2input.y= 1
Calculated here
Result expression: { prediction, loss }
prediction=input.weight * input.xUses:input.weight,input.xloss=(prediction - input.y) ** 2Uses:prediction,input.y
Returns
prediction- 4
loss- 9
Read numbers from input and return the result. JavaScript basics.
Result
Technical statement
Change the input and run the same code again. The displayed result uses the values shown above.
Source: Source expression